The race to elect a successor to German Chancellor Angela Merkel has taken on the most mysterious form since she came to power 16 years ago, signaling a potentially tumultuous new political era in Europe’s top economies.
With a month to go before the Sept. 26 vote, Merkel’s conservative CDU-CSU bloc and her current junior partner in government, the Social Democrats, are running neck and neck, with environmentalist Greens behind.
This raises the question of who will run the EU’s most populous country after the widely trusted Merkel retires from politics.
With Afghanistan’s defeat a crisis of confidence in the West and an environmental emergency calling for immediate action, Germany could face months of wheat struggles to form a coalition government under a new chancellor.
Arsula Munich, director of the Academy for Political Education near Munich, told AFP: “It is becoming clear to many that Merkel is leaving the stage.
“Of course the candidates are being judged against them – they are big shoes to fill.”
According to most polls, the whisperer is at the forefront, the satisfactory but troubled prime minister of Germany’s most populous state, North Rhine-Westphalia, and the head of Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union.
The veteran leader, in a joint campaign event in Berlin last weekend, tried to give some of his long-lasting star power to Lashit, calling him a “bridge builder” and saying he was “deeply convinced” of his abilities. ۔
However, voters do not seem to share his confidence.
After Lashit emerged from a naked fight within the Conservative bloc as a candidate in April, many Germans reacted seriously to what he saw as his contradictory strategy to fight epidemics.
A catastrophic appearance during the deadly floods in July in which he was caught laughing on camera, while President Frank-Walter Steinmeier expressed sympathy for the victims and expressed further doubts about their gravity.
“The turn has come against Lisht and his party,” Der Spiegel News Week reported. “It may change, but it should be clear to him – it’s going to be difficult by day.”
The Social Democrats, meanwhile, who have been weakened by years of fighting, have made a significant increase, largely due to the shaky demonstrations of their rivals.
His centrist candidate, Vice Chancellor and Finance Minister Olaf Schulz, emerged as the dark horse of the election campaign and avoided embarrassing mistakes.
Traditionally, the right-wing daily Blood has emerged as the best-selling Schulz state figure.
“He – not Lashita – seems to be the natural heir to the Merkel era. He’s not doing anything wrong.”
Many analysts have noted that Lashitt erred in his strategy of shifting most of his firepower to the Greens’ untested candidate, Analina Bearback, instead of Schulz.
His initial strong appeal ended after allegations of massive theft and filling out his CV and an attack of targeted “fake news”.
Munch, a political scientist, said the Greens had misjudged Beaverk, a member of parliament who had never led a state or a ministry, justifying his gender.
“It’s a shame he didn’t wait until he gained more experience – his confidence is clearly shaken now and it’s almost sad because I don’t know if he’ll get another chance to run. Will. “
In the poll, both the center-right CDU-CSU and the Social Democrats were put at about 23 percent, and the Greens at about 17 percent.
Compared to the 2017 election, this will be a huge 10-point slide for conservatives who have not lost less than 30% in any post-war election. For the SPD, their record low scores and doubling the Greens’ vote would be a small advantage.
The pro-business Free Democrats, often kingmakers in post-war politics, account for about 13 percent, which means they can play an external role in the alliance’s horse-trading.
For Germany, the far-right alternative, a major flaw in the last election but rejected by other parties, is about 12% behind as the national debate shifts away from the signature issue of their migration.
Assuming the race is near, the parties are ready to negotiate a marathon alliance after an unusually bad mood.
However, Bild pointed out that after a generation of Merkel came out on top in the election, “finally, Germany can look forward to a real race for the chancellorship.”
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