October 20, 2021

Le Pen’s bid for the French presidency began in a storm when a right-wing pundit thundered.

In the run-up to the election, as she makes her third bid for the presidency of France, far-right leader Marine Le Pen suddenly finds herself in an unfamiliar area: the right-wing light-up with a pundit for her glory. To share

For months, Marine Le Pen. He managed to maintain harmony with the President. Emmanuel Macron. I Pool after pool ahead of Presidential elections next April. Whether France Like it or not, the pair looked destined for a slow march towards their rematch. 2017 presidential election War of two people. But after launching its 2022 presidential campaign relatively disc carefully this month, National rally. Flag Beer is struggling to breathe new life into its third attempt to win France’s top job. Instead, with fighters. The far right is Pundit Eric Zemore Leaning on Le Pen’s field and monopolizing media attention has been difficult to achieve. Right arm The word on the edge

Although Zemor did not officially wear his hat until 2022, he lost his daily pulpit on the French news channel CNews when the French media watchdog deemed his airtime appropriate and faced similar restrictions. Which the government claimants face in the name of justice. In the run-up to the election, Zammour has drowned the airwaves, invited here and there to talk about immigration and Islam, his favorite topics. As he puts it, a new bestseller entitled “France Doesn’t Have the Last Word”, every date of Zimmer’s book tour turns into an Aristotle campaign rally. On Thursday, he took part in a controversial prime-time debate aired on television (BFMTV) and radio (RMC) against the far-left presidential candidate. Jane Lok Mullenchen., Although the latter is the only one who is clear about their presidential intentions.

>> Read more: Eric Zammour, far-right pundit who threatens to overtake Lee Pan

Jean-Yves Camus, a political analyst specializing in the French right, told France: “The national rally finds itself in a very painful position today as the former TV pundit has been questioning his candidacy for weeks And provokes media attention. ” 24.

With seven months left before voters go to the ballot box, Le Pen can hardly turn to the police for relief. According to several polling firms, voter turnout for the first round of April 10 has fallen below 20%, for the first time in recent memory. In a poll conducted for Harris Interactive, Challenges magazine, he received 18 or 19 percent of the vote, depending on the full slate of candidates. That was 28 percent before the summer. That is well below his last score in the first round of 2017, when his 21.3% vote put Le Pen in the run-off for Alice Palace.

‘We don’t toss about Eric Zemour’

The National Rally Camp wants to say that there is no danger to Zammur.

“Nothing bothers me, I’m in my third presidential campaign and it has given me a lot of experience in this domain. The campaign is a long one,” Lee said during a campaign stop in captivity in southeastern France on Tuesday. Pan said. “I am relieved by the tough soldiers from the war.”

The party’s brass has expressed similar calm. “We don’t toss Eric Zammoor. Yes, our supporters praise him, but the remarks he makes don’t necessarily mean he’s a good president. Le Pen is not satisfied with the list of issues – he’s the solution.” “National Rally spokesman Julian Sanchez told France 24.

“I’ve been involved in politics for decades,” added Philip Oliver, Le Pen’s adviser. “I have seen many third-party men come to power with God. No one has given them a place to end it. Oliver reminded that it would have been only 14% in the election. “Recently, it was predicted. Yellow vest movement. Candidates will throw a spinner in the works. In the end, they did practically nothing. We are quite calm here in the national rally. “

And yet, one can only imagine that Le Pen is not as zen as she claims. Since launching his campaign, he has spoken out in favor of a tour with a handful of regional journalists outside the Paris Beltway to promote a high-quality debate. But he seems to have changed his tune. As Melinchen and Zemour were ready for their discussion on Thursday, Le Pen invited the national press to join him on a visit to Moselle in northeastern France, with one of Zemor’s signature items on his agenda: ” “National preference”, or the concept of giving preference to French citizens over immigrants in terms of jobs and certain benefits.

Does Le Pen’s latest tactical move end the friendly huddles on specific subjects that she seemed too passionate about for the campaign? “Absolutely not,” according to his party. “Sometimes the strategy of mixing more targeted trips with the local press and at other times inviting the national press on major campaign topics would be appropriate,” Olivier told France24.

Real warning signs.

Since the start of his campaign, Le Pen’s “strategy of talking to the regional media and staying away from the Paris press, which is openly hostile to him,” has been well-received, according to political analyst Camus. Told France24. “Those who showed weakness on certain topics under discussion during the debate against Macron (2017 presidential finalist) are trying to show that she is gaining command of certain subjects, especially this week. For a tool of the captive. “

However, according to Oliver Rokin, a professor of political science, “Marine Le Pen’s campaign is showing real warning signs.” “His ‘saying’ strategy, which brings right-wing hearts to a moderate line on the subject of immigration, confuses everyone and lowers itself. Immigration, “added Roken, who is also an associate researcher at the Center for Administrative and Political Science Studies and Research (SARSA).

Nevertheless, he is aware of Zammoor’s appearance at this stage. “There is also a hype effect around Zemor, whose score is now too low to win,” he said.

Lack of dynamics, lack of finances.

Following the poor performance of the national rally in the June nationwide departmental and regional elections, Lee Pan now looks far from reviving the old spark as she embarks on her third presidential campaign. Jane Marie He moved the torch after five failed attempts. In the 2022 rehearsal, Rokin saw a candidate lowering the mark to mobilize his constituents.

Rokin added: “She is not managing to impress a movement. And I doubt that her campaign poster for ‘Freedom’ will be able to persuade a voter to leave. ۔ “

When the treasury is drying up, it is certainly not easy to mobilize troops. Funds for the national rally are in red – it had a debt of 22 22.9 million on ledger, as recently as 2019, only two rounds of presidential campaigning are allowed under French law.

In fact, Lee Pan recently “warned” Macron how difficult it is to finance the presidential campaign. What was for French municipal elections

This article has been translated from here. Original in French.

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